Title | Assignment 3 ECON1269 |
---|---|
Author | Le Linh |
Course | Commercial Laws |
Institution | Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology University Vietnam |
Pages | 12 |
File Size | 301.2 KB |
File Type | |
Total Downloads | 187 |
Total Views | 956 |
Download Assignment 3 ECON1269 PDF
INDIVIDUAL ASSIGNMENT 3 – RESEARCH REPORT
Subject Name
International Trade
Subject Code
ECON1269
Lecturer
Pham Thi Bich Ngoc
Student Name
Le Ngoc Linh
Student ID
S3804772
Campus
Saigon
World Count
1993
Table of Contents Question 1:........................................................................................................................2 A..................................................................................................................................................2 B..................................................................................................................................................3 C..................................................................................................................................................4 D..................................................................................................................................................4
Question 2:........................................................................................................................5 A..................................................................................................................................................5 B..................................................................................................................................................7 C..................................................................................................................................................7 D..................................................................................................................................................8
Question 3:........................................................................................................................8 References:........................................................................................................................9
1
The report will show the price, quantity, profit, consumer surplus and welfare loss that are results of companies A, B and J in various cases. Furthermore, collect data and analyze it in the pre-Covid and post-Covid period. Finally, Thailand is the chosen country to analyze income disparity through Gini coefficient.
Question 1: A.
Both companies Astra-PC and Be-U manufacture and sell laptops in Vietnam market Q = Qa + Qb Have: Q = 20.000.000 – 5000P P =
20.000 .000−Q 5000
=
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb 5000 Next:
TR A = P*Qa=
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb 5000
Qa
TRB = P*Qb=
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb 5000
Qb
And: MC a =
MC b = MR =
Change ∈ TR Change ∈ Q
= 2500
TRa = 2500Qa
TRb = 2500Qb
The total profit of company A and B:
TPr a =
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb 5000
20.000 .000−2Qa−Qb 5000
Qa – 2500Qa
- 2500 = 0
20.000.000 – 2Qa – Qb = 12.500.000 (1) TPr b =
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb 5000
20.000 .000−Qa−2Qb 5000
Qb – 2500Qb
- 2500 = 0
20.000.000 – Qa – 2Qb = 12.500.000 (2) From (1) & (2) Qa = Qb = 2.500.000 units P = 3000
The profit of company A and B:
2
Pr a =
Pr b =
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb 5000
20.000 .000 −2.500.000−2.500 .000 5000
2.500.000 – 2500*2.500.000 = 1.250.000.000
When Q = 0 P = 4000
Consumer surplus =
Qa – 2500Qa =
1 2
(2.500.000*2)(4000 – 3000) = 2.500.000.000
In case of perfect competition: P = MC = 2500 Q = 20.000.000 – (5000*2500) = 7.500.000 units
Welfare loss (compared to a free market) =
1 2
(7.500.000 – 2.500.000*2)
(3000-2500) = 625.000.000
B.
The total cost of J-Laps: TC = [1900 + (0.158*1900)]Q = 2200Q
Astra-PC, Be-U and J-Laps sell laptops in Vietnam Q = Qa + Qb + Qj
The total profit of company A, B and J: TPr a =
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb−Qj 5000
20.000 .000−2Qa−Qb −Qj 5000
Qa – 2500Qa
- 2500 = 0
20.000.000 – 2Qa – Qb - Qj = 12.500.000 (1) TPr b =
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb−Qj 5000
20.000 .000−Qa−2Qb −Qj 5000
Qb – 2500Qb
- 2500 = 0
20.000.000 – Qa – 2Qb – Qj = 12.500.000 (2) TPr j =
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb−Qj 5000
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb−2 Qj 5000
Qj – 2200Qj
- 2200 = 0
20.000.000 – Qa – Qb – 2Qj = 11.001.000 (3) From (1), (2) & (3) Qa = Qb = 1.500.250 units, Qj = 2.999.250 units P=
20.000 .000−(2∗1.500 .250)−2.999 .250 = 2.800,05 5000
3
The profit of company A, B and J: Pr a =
Pr b =
20.000 .000−(2∗1.500 .250)−2.999 .250 5000
1.500.250 –
2500*1.500.250 = 450.150.120 Pr j =
20.000 .000−(2∗1.500 .250)−2.999 .250 5000
2.999.250 – 2200*2.999.250 =
1.799.699.962,5
Consumer surplus =
1 2
(1.500.250*2 + 2.999.250)(4000 – 2800) = 3.599.850.000
C. In the case of the open market, the change in price swings downward from 3000 to 2800, the number of products on the market is likewise on the increase to 2.999.250 units from 2.500.000 units and raise the consumer surplus from 2.500.000.000 to 3.599.850.000. Thus, the opening up to trade will benefit consumers when they buy the goods at a lower cost as well as a rise in the standard of living (OECD 1998).
D.
If Vietnam has not the tariff, the total cost of J-Laps: TC = 1900Q
The total profit of the company A, B and J: TPr a =
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb−Qj 5000
20.00 0.000−2 Qa−Qb−Qj 5000
Qa – 2500Qa
- 2500 = 0
20.000.000 – 2Qa – Qb - Qj = 12.500.000 (1) TPr b =
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb−Qj 5000
20.000 .000−Qa−2Qb −Qj 5000
Qb – 2500Qb
- 2500 = 0
20.000.000 – Qa – 2Qb – Qj = 12.500.000 (2) TPr c =
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb−Qj 5000
20.000 .000−Qa−Qb−2 Qj 5000
Qj – 1900Qj
- 1900 = 0
20.000.000 – Qa – Qb – 2Qj = 9.500.000 (3) ¿ (1), (2) & (3) Qa = Qb = 1.125.000 units, Qj = 4.125.000 units
4
P=
20.000 .000−(2∗1.125 .000)−4.125 .000 = 2725 5000
The profit of the company A, B and J: Pr a = Pr b = 1.125.000*2725 – 1.125.000 – 2500 = 253.125.000
Pr j = (4.125.000*2725) – (1900*4.125.000) = 3.403.125.000 1 2
Consumer surplus =
When Vietnamese customs remove the tariff, the price and profit of company A and B
(1.125.000*2 + 4.125.000)(4000 – 2725) = 4.064.062.500
in the market will be decreased. However, the quantity and consumer surplus will increase. Thus, J-Laps is the greatest winner compared to Astra-PC and Be-U that are losers because the profit of Japanese company is higher than the profit of Vietnamese companies in Vietnam market.
Question 2: A.
The year previous to the Covid-19 pandemic: 2019
The year during the Covid-19 pandemic: 2020
Units: Billion USD
2019
2020
Electrical machinery and equipment
107
110
Footwear
21.8
17.2
Clothing, accessories (not knit or crochet)
16.1
13.3
Machinery and appliances
16.1
18.8
Knit or crochet clothing, accessories
15.4
13.7
Table 1: The main 5 export products
Units: Billion USD
2019
2020
Electrical machinery and equipment
73.7
95
Machinery and appliances
25.3
21
Mineral fuels including mineral oils
16
12.9
Plastics, plastic articles
14.8
15.9
Iron, steel
11.2
9.9
5
Table 2: The main 5 import products
Units: Billion USD
2019
2020
United States
63.7
77
China
40.3
48
Japan
21.2
19.2
South Korea
20.3
19.1
Germany
8.22
6.63
Table 3: Export value of the main 5 export partners
Units: Billion USD
2019
2020
China
91.1
84
South Korea
47.8
46
Japan
16.3
20
Thailand
11.8
10.9
Taiwan
11.4
16.7
Table 4: Import value of the main 5 import partners
2019
2020
19.96
19.34
Table 5: Vietnamese overall trade balance
2019
2020
Nominated exchange rate
23.155
23.15
CPI VN
102.8
103.22
Real exchange rate 22.92 Table 6: Real effective exchange rate for Vietnam
22.71
6
2019
2020
Income distribution
184.55
182.7
Poverty rate
4.8%
6.7%
Table 7: Income distribution and data on poverty for Vietnam B. In 2020, the export products such as footwear, clothing, accessories and the import products such as machinery, fuels, iron and steel are reducted compared to the previous Covid-19. Otherwise, the export volume in the electrical machinery, equipment and appliances raises in the post pandemic. Besides, the import volume of plastics, electrical machinery and equipment also increases in this period. For US and China markets, which are the high export volume from 2019 to 2020 while the export value of Japan, South Korea and Germany is declined. There is the developing of the import value to Japan and Taiwan markets but the import value decreases to the markets of China, South Korea and Thailand in the post Covid19 pandemic. On the other hand, the trade balance and exchange rate of Vietnam tend to reduce slightly after being hit by the Covid-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate rise sharply in the country due to the mass closure of businesses. Vietnam’s trade pattern is affected strongly due to the difficulty in circulation of goods leading to an unprecedented decrease in output that occurred in 2020 and the increase of taxes among huge enterprises that causing product prices to fluctuate (OECD 2020).
C. The Heckscher-Ohlin model is used to describe the trade movement of Vietnam market in the Covid-19 pandemic. In the Heckscher-Ohlin model, countries export what they can most efficiently and abundantly produce. This is perhaps the simplest model for predicting labormarket issues (McLaren 2012). According to the model, countries can also export things with which it is well-endowed and import goods which it is poorly endowed (Baskaran, Blochl, Bruck & Thesis 2011). When the covid epidemic broke out, businesses closed one after another, leading to a high unemployment rate and localities having to social distance, reducing productivity and supply in the market. The reason why some items have a decrease in export volume, for example, footwear, clothes and accessories (Table 1). Because these are
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non-essential products during the epidemic period and cause a decrease in export production in Vietnam. However, the import volume of some products tends to increase because of the high demand for essential products such as electrical machinery and equipment (Table 2). The demand for electrical devices used to support households with electricity in many different functions and especially to meet the conditions for students to study at home during the lockdown city (OECD 2021). Therefore, the quantity of exports will decrease due to a decrease in output, the quantity of imports will increase due to increased demand. Therefore, the quantity of exports will decrease due to a decrease in output, the quantity of imports will increase due to increased demand
D. The essential industries that are considered very important during the outbreak of the Covid pandemic are electrical machinery, equipment and food. According to Tables 1 and 2, electrical machinery and equipment are at the top of both exports and imports in Vietnam. This shows the high demand of users in Vietnam and around the world. The reason why electrical machinery and equipment has become an essential industry during the pandemic is because all offline activities such as exchanges, meetings or large gatherings are limited to the maximum, so all activities will switch to online and remote management to avoid contact. Therefore, if the epidemic is still not under control, the demand for electrical equipment will continue to increase in the near future (PwC n.d). However, industries that are considered non-essential such as footwear, clothing and accessories have been significantly reduced in Vietnam during the Covid-19 epidemic. The reason is that they are non-essential items during the pandemic compared to the electrical, food and medicine items that are must-haves to take care of yourself and the family at home. Footwear, clothing and accessories industry will develop as a new normal operating state is established in Vietnam and the world (ILO 2020).
Question 3: One ASEAN country is chosen which is Thailand. Income disparity is the uneven distribution of income across a population. As the income distribution becomes more unequal, so does the income disparity. With a measure like the Gini coefficient, can be used to measure a population's level of income disparity (Cowell 2011). During the past 20 years, Thailand has experienced a huge change in income disparity (WorldBank n.d). Specifically, in the year
8
2000 the Gini coefficient reached a very high level of 42.8 indicating a deep strain of inequality between rich and poor. In contrast, after nearly 2 decades, the Gini coefficient has dropped sharply to 36.4 in 2018. However, Thailand is still in the top 4 with income disparity in ASEAN after the Philippines, Malaysia and Indonesia but Thailand's wealth disparity has narrowed over time, with the GINI index falling to 36.4 in 2018 from 39.4 in 2010 (Anuk & Manop 2020). Besides international trade, growing openness in developing countries increases income inequality through altering asset, spatial, and gender inequalities. Additionally, he points out that most time-series analyses have found that increasing openness has raised the demand for labors (Anderson 2005). For Thailand, the country has a competitive advantage of having an abundant and low-cost unskilled labor force that can be hired by businesses or shop owners with low fees. This has created many job opportunities for the poor, young, old or those without qualifications to help them earn money to escape poverty and develop their lives (ILO 2013). It also helps to close the gap between rich and poor and income disparity in Thailand. Thailand has achieved significant progress in economic and social growth during the previous four decades, rising from a low-income to a middle-income country in under a generation. As a result of its continuous high development and remarkable poverty reduction, Thailand has become a commonly referenced development success story. Thailand's economy increased at an average rate each year. This expansion resulted in the creation of millions of employment, which assisted in the emancipation of millions of people from poverty (WorldBank 2021). The country also has some of the top exports in the world, such as rice. As output increases, productivity increases, so does the labor force, incomes increase, and poverty rates decrease. Hence, this short article shows that international trade can reduce trade disparities in Thailand.
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Anuk, S & Manop, U 2020, Thailand Economic Focus: Building a more equal and sustainable Thailand after COVID-19: A UN perspective, United Nations Thailand, viewed 7
9
September 2021, .
Baskaran, T, Blochl, F, Bruck, T & Thesis, F-J 2011, ‘The Heckscher-Ohlin model and the network structure of international trade’, International Review of Economics & Finance, vol. 20, no. 2, pp.135-145, viewed 4 September 2021, Elsevier SD Freedom Collection database.
Cowell, D-F 2011, Measuring Inequality, Oxford, ProQuess Ebook Central database. EOC
n.d,
‘Vietnam’,
EOC,
viewed
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September
2021,
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OEC
n.d,
Vietnam,
OEC,
viewed
1
September
2021,
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2021,
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PwC n.d, Analysis of the Potential Impacts of COVID-19 on Vietnamese Economy, company report,
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September
2021,
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