Round 3 Keyword Outline PDF

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Round 3 Speech Outline One-China or No China? Alyssa Tong I. “Made in China”. Prices: $25 to $30. This could be our reality. We must be informed. One-China. II. World policy sums up how the United States views China and Taiwan, its property. A. There’s a conflict between China and Taiwan. 1. Similar to E & W Germany, N & S Korea. 2. According to the Economist, in an article published March 11, 2017, China views Taiwan as a rebel. 3. According to the Economist, the One-China Policy is simply the US acknowledging that China holds this principle; not taking a side. US has an unofficial embassy in Taiwan and sells them military arms. They have stood behind this policy since 1979. 4. Graph by the National Chengchi University: the Taiwanese are identifying themselves as less and less Chinese. B. USA Today reports in an article published January 2017 that Trump received Taiwan’s call. 1. Went back and publicly supported the One-China Policy. So what could be the effects of abolishing the One-China Policy? III. If we go through with the policy: China will get angry, and has already threatened to break relations. A. No trade with China would be bad because we’re interdependent. 1. The Southeast Farm Press says in an article from January 11, 2017 that Trump’s trade war would raise tariffs from 2.5-2.9% to 45%. a. Tariff: $10 to $14.50. 2. China could turn and hurt companies such as Boeing by buying from the European competitor Airbus instead. a. Boeing has $11 billion of plane deliveries scheduled. b. $11 billion is roughly equivalent to every person in the US getting $35. 3. China may also turn to other allies such as North Korea and help them by improving trade, aid and investment. 4. They are likely to also go to Iran solely for their oil needs and shut the US out. B. However, some possible benefits to going through with abandoning the policy are some industries will benefit from the tariffs.

1. According to the US Office of Trade Representatives, the three biggest industries that would go up in value because of the tariffs are electrical machinery, machinery and furniture and bedding. a. These are a whopping $404 billion industries. 2. The “Made in China” items take up a very small percentage of imports that normal consumers buy. a. Galina Hale, a senior economist in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, says “Of the 2.7% of U.S. consumer purchases going to goods labeled “Made in China,” only 1.2% actually represents China-produced content.” (ET) b. This tells us that very few items we purchase would actually be affected. 3. Strengthening our relationship with Taiwan would give us an optimal spot for military bases because of its location, if the need should arise. Taiwan would become an ally with a prime location. a. Being able to use Taiwan as a military base, we could push China’s hand into giving up control of the South China Sea, another contentious issue. b. This has been called using Taiwan as a bargaining chip, an idea that many people are wary of.

IV. In conclusion, … REVIEW: One-China Policy is something we have stood behind for a very long time. Currently, it seems as though President Trump will stick with the policy. However, he has left doubt in the minds of many people, so it is possible we will turn around and not stand beside the Policy. Now you know some of the effects that the One-China Policy has on the current world and what would happen if we abandoned the policy. FINAL THOUGHT: China is a big player in the global world politics system. Recognizing or not recognizing Taiwan as a government would have huge effects on the world and now, you are informed about some of them. Go out and decide for yourself: One-China or no China?...